{"id":23749,"date":"2022-11-01T12:19:13","date_gmt":"2022-11-01T16:19:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/?p=23749"},"modified":"2024-06-14T10:24:25","modified_gmt":"2024-06-14T14:24:25","slug":"flood-maps","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/2022\/11\/flood-maps\/","title":{"rendered":"Many Americans Lack Flood Insurance Despite Rising Risks \u2014 Here&#8217;s Why"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">When Hurricane Ian hit the Gulf Coast of Florida on September 28, 2022, the Category 4 storm created a surge of ocean water that rose by one to two stories along some 60 miles of the state\u2019s southwestern coastline, flooding thousands of homes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hurricane Ian\u2019s trail of destruction has put a national spotlight on the pitfalls of building in flood-prone areas, with countless media outlets highlighting the fact that more than 80% of homes that were under evacuation orders didn\u2019t have flood insurance.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the reality is that many homeowners across the United States aren\u2019t actually aware of their property\u2019s risk of flooding, leaving them with little guidance on whether they should purchase a flood insurance policy to cover storm damage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/nation\/lack-of-flood-insurance-leaves-families-with-broken-homes-following-hurricane-ian#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20Insurance%20Information,is%20only%20about%2018%20percent.\">only about 4% of homeowners nationwide have flood insurance<\/a> \u2014&nbsp;a problem that can be largely attributed to the flood maps created by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/geospatial\/people\/georgina-sanchez\/\">Georgina Sanchez<\/a>, a research associate at NC State\u2019s Center for Geospatial Analytics.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FEMA\u2019s flood maps designate areas located in the 100-year floodplain, or where there\u2019s a 1% chance of flooding in any given year. Many Americans rely on these maps to make decisions about where and how to build their homes or businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFlood maps help determine which areas are at high risk of flooding and, therefore, require flood insurance, structural adaptations, or are eligible for federal buyout,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<aside class=\"wp-block-ncst-aside-widget default right-aside\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/natural-disasters#:~:text=Ninety%20percent%20of%20natural%20disasters,floods%20and%20their%20cascading%20consequences.\" class=\"wp-block-ncst-aside-fact ncst-fact has-red-400-text-color\" data-ua-cat=\"Fact Block\" data-ua-action=\"URL Click\" data-ua-label=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/natural-disasters#:~:text=Ninety%20percent%20of%20natural%20disasters,floods%20and%20their%20cascading%20consequences.\"><h2 class=\"fact__heading\"><strong><strong>Ninety percent of all natural disasters in the U.S. involve flooding.<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2><p class=\"fact__support\"><span>Source: Department of Homeland <\/span><span class=\"nowrap\"><span>Security&nbsp;<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"> <svg class=\"wolficon\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right\"\/><\/svg> <\/span><\/span><\/p><\/a>\n\n<\/aside>\n\n\n\n\n<p>Flooding typically isn\u2019t covered by standard insurance policies, so homeowners with government-backed mortgages are required to purchase flood insurance separately \u2014 usually through FEMA\u2019s National Flood Insurance Program \u2014 when their property is located in the 100-year floodplain.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Unfortunately, FEMA\u2019s flood maps underestimate the risk of flooding by failing to account for intense rainfall events and sea level rise. These conditions are becoming more common as climate change accelerates, increasing the likelihood and seriousness of flooding.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, FEMA doesn\u2019t quickly and continuously update its flood maps to consider urban intensification and expansion. The conversion of natural lands to roads and other impervious surfaces results in increased stormwater runoff, which aggravates flooding.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFEMA\u2019s designation of high-risk flood zones can mislead communities about their actual risk and encourage development that borders the floodplain, resulting in greater damages when flood events exceed design levels,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sanchez added that the flood mapping process is time-consuming, research-intensive and expensive. Consequently, FEMA has only developed flood maps for 61% of the continental U.S., leaving thousands of communities vulnerable to flood damage.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured.png\" data-fullsize=\"1500x844\" data-zoom=\"true\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured-1024x576.png\" alt=\"Georgina Sanchez (right) and Elyssa Collins (left) at NC State's Center for Geospatial Analytics\" class=\"wp-image-23814\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured-1024x576.png 1024w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured.png 1500w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Georgina Sanchez (right) and Elyssa Collins (left) at NC State&#8217;s Center for Geospatial Analytics. Photo provided. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Recently, Sanchez collaborated with <a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/2022\/08\/elyssa-collins-not-your-average-summer\/\">Elyssa Collins<\/a>, a doctoral candidate in the Center for Geospatial Analytics, and other NC State researchers <a href=\"https:\/\/news.ncsu.edu\/2022\/02\/study-u-s-flood-damage-risk-is-underestimated\/\">to create computer models<\/a> capable of predicting where flood damage is likely to happen in the continental U.S.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The researchers \u201ctrained\u201d the computer models with reported data of flood damage for the U.S., along with other information, from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration made between December 2006 and May 2020.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Comparing the data with FEMA\u2019s flood maps from 2020, Sanchez and her colleagues found that the majority of the damage reports, at 68.3%, were located outside of the agency\u2019s high-risk flood zones, while 16.2% were in unmapped locations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They also found a high probability of flood damage \u2013 including monetary damage, human injury and\/or loss of life \u2013 for more than 1.01 million square miles across the U.S. FEMA\u2019s maps of the 100-year floodplain only account for 221,000 square miles.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cFollowing Ian, and many other major hurricanes, we have observed serious flood damage beyond the boundaries of the 100-year floodplain,\u201d Sanchez said. \u201cThis suggests that there are communities across the nation susceptible to damage that our current flood management policies don\u2019t consider.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sanchez added that FEMA\u2019s flood maps oversimplify risk by utilizing static, categorical boundaries for the 100-year floodplain. \u201cProperties outside of the floodplain are considered to have \u2018minimal risk\u2019, regardless of whether they stand a foot or a mile outside, and are not subject to protective regulations.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured.jpg\" data-fullsize=\"2000x1555\" data-zoom=\"true\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"796\" src=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-1024x796.jpg\" alt=\"Map showing proximity of developments to high-risk flood zones in North Point, Florida.\" class=\"wp-image-23818\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-1024x796.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-300x233.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-768x597.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-1536x1194.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured.jpg 2000w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption>Hurricane Ian destroyed thousands of buildings throughout southwestern Florida. This map illustrates the proximity of those buildings (gray) to high-risk flood zones (blue). Map by Georgina Sanchez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Beginning in 2021, FEMA\u2019s National Flood Insurance Program began incorporating additional flood risk variables \u2014 flood frequency, flood type, and property characteristics \u2014 into the mapping process as part of a new strategy called Risk Rating 2.0.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Sanchez, however, FEMA is only using Risk Rating 2.0 to improve estimates of flood insurance premiums for property owners located inside of designated high-risk flood zones.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWhile it is an important step in acknowledging that flood risk varies across geographies, flood risk estimates must account for rapid changes in our landscapes and climate\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sanchez and Collins are currently working with other NC State researchers and the U.S. Geological Survey to <a href=\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\">create simulations depicting how annual flooding probabilities<\/a> are likely to change over the next century under various global climate scenarios.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The simulations will ultimately provide land-use planners across the country with \u201ccomputationally efficient predictions of flood risk that can be rapidly updated as conditions change or new data becomes available,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cData-driven methods could complement FEMA\u2019s current flood risk estimates to provide more robust predictions,\u201d she concluded.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ncst-related-stories\"><h2 class=\"related-stories__label\">Related<\/h2><div class=\"ncst-component__related-stories-container\"><a \n      href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/?p=23749&#038;preview=true&#038;_thumbnail_id=23764\"\n      class=\"ncst-component__bold-link text-link\"\n                >\n    <span class=\"text\">Study: U.S. Flood Damage Risk Is Underestimated<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"><svg class=\"wolficon wolficon-arrow-right-bold\" role=\"img\"  aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right-bold\">\n\t\t<\/svg><\/span>\n    <\/a>\n  \n\n<a \n      href=\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\"\n      class=\"ncst-component__bold-link text-link\"\n                >\n    <span class=\"text\">Mapping the Future:<br>Climate Change and Flooding in Coastal North Carolina<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"><svg class=\"wolficon wolficon-arrow-right-bold\" role=\"img\"  aria-hidden=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right-bold\">\n\t\t<\/svg><\/span>\n    <\/a>\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n","protected":false,"raw":"<!-- wp:ncst\/dynamic-header -->\n<!-- wp:ncst\/default-immersive-post-header \/-->\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/dynamic-header -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph {\"className\":\"is-style-lead\"} -->\n<p class=\"is-style-lead\">When Hurricane Ian hit the Gulf Coast of Florida on September 28, 2022, the Category 4 storm created a surge of ocean water that rose by one to two stories along some 60 miles of the state\u2019s southwestern coastline, flooding thousands of homes.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Hurricane Ian\u2019s trail of destruction has put a national spotlight on the pitfalls of building in flood-prone areas, with countless media outlets highlighting the fact that more than 80% of homes that were under evacuation orders didn\u2019t have flood insurance.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>But the reality is that many homeowners across the United States aren\u2019t actually aware of their property\u2019s risk of flooding, leaving them with little guidance on whether they should purchase a flood insurance policy to cover storm damage.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>In fact, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/nation\/lack-of-flood-insurance-leaves-families-with-broken-homes-following-hurricane-ian#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20Insurance%20Information,is%20only%20about%2018%20percent.\">only about 4% of homeowners nationwide have flood insurance<\/a> \u2014&nbsp;a problem that can be largely attributed to the flood maps created by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/geospatial\/people\/georgina-sanchez\/\">Georgina Sanchez<\/a>, a research associate at NC State\u2019s Center for Geospatial Analytics.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>FEMA\u2019s flood maps designate areas located in the 100-year floodplain, or where there\u2019s a 1% chance of flooding in any given year. Many Americans rely on these maps to make decisions about where and how to build their homes or businesses.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u201cFlood maps help determine which areas are at high risk of flooding and, therefore, require flood insurance, structural adaptations, or are eligible for federal buyout,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:ncst\/aside-widget -->\n<aside class=\"wp-block-ncst-aside-widget default right-aside\"><!-- wp:ncst\/aside-fact {\"heading\":\"\\u003cstrong\\u003e\\u003cstrong\\u003eNinety percent of all natural disasters in the U.S. involve flooding.\\u003c\/strong\\u003e\\u003c\/strong\\u003e\",\"support\":\"Source: Department of Homeland Security\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/natural-disasters#:~:text=Ninety%20percent%20of%20natural%20disasters,floods%20and%20their%20cascading%20consequences.\"} -->\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/natural-disasters#:~:text=Ninety%20percent%20of%20natural%20disasters,floods%20and%20their%20cascading%20consequences.\" class=\"wp-block-ncst-aside-fact ncst-fact has-red-400-text-color\" data-ua-cat=\"Fact Block\" data-ua-action=\"URL Click\" data-ua-label=\"https:\/\/www.dhs.gov\/natural-disasters#:~:text=Ninety%20percent%20of%20natural%20disasters,floods%20and%20their%20cascading%20consequences.\"><h2 class=\"fact__heading\"><strong><strong>Ninety percent of all natural disasters in the U.S. involve flooding.<\/strong><\/strong><\/h2><p class=\"fact__support\"><span>Source: Department of Homeland <\/span><span class=\"nowrap\"><span>Security&nbsp;<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"> <svg class=\"wolficon\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right\"\/><\/svg> <\/span><\/span><\/p><\/a>\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/aside-fact --><\/aside>\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/aside-widget -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Flooding typically isn\u2019t covered by standard insurance policies, so homeowners with government-backed mortgages are required to purchase flood insurance separately \u2014 usually through FEMA\u2019s National Flood Insurance Program \u2014 when their property is located in the 100-year floodplain.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Unfortunately, FEMA\u2019s flood maps underestimate the risk of flooding by failing to account for intense rainfall events and sea level rise. These conditions are becoming more common as climate change accelerates, increasing the likelihood and seriousness of flooding.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Additionally, FEMA doesn\u2019t quickly and continuously update its flood maps to consider urban intensification and expansion. The conversion of natural lands to roads and other impervious surfaces results in increased stormwater runoff, which aggravates flooding.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u201cFEMA\u2019s designation of high-risk flood zones can mislead communities about their actual risk and encourage development that borders the floodplain, resulting in greater damages when flood events exceed design levels,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Sanchez added that the flood mapping process is time-consuming, research-intensive and expensive. Consequently, FEMA has only developed flood maps for 61% of the continental U.S., leaving thousands of communities vulnerable to flood damage.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"align\":\"wide\",\"id\":23814,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"media\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured.png\"><img src=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11012022-elyssa-collins-georgina-sanchez-cga-featured-1024x576.png\" alt=\"Georgina Sanchez (right) and Elyssa Collins (left) at NC State's Center for Geospatial Analytics\" class=\"wp-image-23814\"\/><\/a><figcaption>Georgina Sanchez (right) and Elyssa Collins (left) at NC State's Center for Geospatial Analytics. Photo provided. <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Recently, Sanchez collaborated with <a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/2022\/08\/elyssa-collins-not-your-average-summer\/\">Elyssa Collins<\/a>, a doctoral candidate in the Center for Geospatial Analytics, and other NC State researchers <a href=\"https:\/\/news.ncsu.edu\/2022\/02\/study-u-s-flood-damage-risk-is-underestimated\/\">to create computer models<\/a> capable of predicting where flood damage is likely to happen in the continental U.S.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The researchers \u201ctrained\u201d the computer models with reported data of flood damage for the U.S., along with other information, from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration made between December 2006 and May 2020.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Comparing the data with FEMA\u2019s flood maps from 2020, Sanchez and her colleagues found that the majority of the damage reports, at 68.3%, were located outside of the agency\u2019s high-risk flood zones, while 16.2% were in unmapped locations.<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>They also found a high probability of flood damage \u2013 including monetary damage, human injury and\/or loss of life \u2013 for more than 1.01 million square miles across the U.S. FEMA\u2019s maps of the 100-year floodplain only account for 221,000 square miles.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u201cFollowing Ian, and many other major hurricanes, we have observed serious flood damage beyond the boundaries of the 100-year floodplain,\u201d Sanchez said. \u201cThis suggests that there are communities across the nation susceptible to damage that our current flood management policies don\u2019t consider.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Sanchez added that FEMA\u2019s flood maps oversimplify risk by utilizing static, categorical boundaries for the 100-year floodplain. \u201cProperties outside of the floodplain are considered to have \u2018minimal risk\u2019, regardless of whether they stand a foot or a mile outside, and are not subject to protective regulations.\u201d&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:image {\"align\":\"wide\",\"id\":23818,\"sizeSlug\":\"large\",\"linkDestination\":\"media\"} -->\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured.jpg\"><img src=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2022\/11\/11022022-florida-flooding-map-provided-featured-1024x796.jpg\" alt=\"Map showing proximity of developments to high-risk flood zones in North Point, Florida.\" class=\"wp-image-23818\"\/><\/a><figcaption>Hurricane Ian destroyed thousands of buildings throughout southwestern Florida. This map illustrates the proximity of those buildings (gray) to high-risk flood zones (blue). Map by Georgina Sanchez<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<!-- \/wp:image -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Beginning in 2021, FEMA\u2019s National Flood Insurance Program began incorporating additional flood risk variables \u2014 flood frequency, flood type, and property characteristics \u2014 into the mapping process as part of a new strategy called Risk Rating 2.0.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>According to Sanchez, however, FEMA is only using Risk Rating 2.0 to improve estimates of flood insurance premiums for property owners located inside of designated high-risk flood zones.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u201cWhile it is an important step in acknowledging that flood risk varies across geographies, flood risk estimates must account for rapid changes in our landscapes and climate\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>Sanchez and Collins are currently working with other NC State researchers and the U.S. Geological Survey to <a href=\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\">create simulations depicting how annual flooding probabilities<\/a> are likely to change over the next century under various global climate scenarios.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>The simulations will ultimately provide land-use planners across the country with \u201ccomputationally efficient predictions of flood risk that can be rapidly updated as conditions change or new data becomes available,\u201d Sanchez said.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:paragraph -->\n<p>\u201cData-driven methods could complement FEMA\u2019s current flood risk estimates to provide more robust predictions,\u201d she concluded.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:paragraph -->\n\n<!-- wp:ncst\/related-stories -->\n<div class=\"wp-block-ncst-related-stories\"><h2 class=\"related-stories__label\">Related<\/h2><div class=\"ncst-component__related-stories-container\"><!-- wp:ncst\/bold-link {\"url\":\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/?p=23749\\u0026preview=true\\u0026_thumbnail_id=23764\",\"text\":\"Study: U.S. Flood Damage Risk Is Underestimated\"} -->\n<a href=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/?p=23749&amp;preview=true&amp;_thumbnail_id=23764\" class=\"ncst-component__bold-link wp-block-ncst-bold-link\" data-ua-cat=\"Bold Link Block\" data-ua-action=\"Bold Link Click\" data-ua-label=\"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/?p=23749&amp;preview=true&amp;_thumbnail_id=23764\"><span>Study: U.S. Flood Damage Risk Is <\/span><span class=\"nowrap\"><span>Underestimated&nbsp;<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"> <svg class=\"wolficon\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right-bold\"\/><\/svg> <\/span><\/span><\/a>\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/bold-link -->\n\n<!-- wp:ncst\/bold-link {\"url\":\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\",\"text\":\"Mapping the Future:\\u003cbr\\u003eClimate Change and Flooding in Coastal North Carolina\"} -->\n<a href=\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\" class=\"ncst-component__bold-link wp-block-ncst-bold-link\" data-ua-cat=\"Bold Link Block\" data-ua-action=\"Bold Link Click\" data-ua-label=\"https:\/\/ncseagrant.ncsu.edu\/coastwatch\/current-issue\/summer-2021\/mapping-the-future\/\"><span>Mapping the Future:<br>Climate Change and Flooding in Coastal North <\/span><span class=\"nowrap\"><span>Carolina&nbsp;<\/span><span class=\"arrow-indicator\"> <svg class=\"wolficon\" role=\"img\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><use xlink:href=\"#wolficon-arrow-right-bold\"\/><\/svg> <\/span><\/span><\/a>\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/bold-link --><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/wp:ncst\/related-stories -->"},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FEMA\u2019s designation of high-risk flood zones can mislead communities about their actual risk, according to NC State researcher Georgina Sanchez. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":171,"featured_media":23764,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"views\/single-immersive.blade.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"source":"","ncst_custom_author":"","ncst_show_custom_author":false,"ncst_dynamicHeaderBlockName":"ncst\/default-immersive-post-header","ncst_dynamicHeaderData":"{\"showAuthor\":true,\"showDate\":true,\"showFeaturedVideo\":false,\"backgroundColor\":\"gray_800\",\"displayCategoryID\":3,\"caption\":\"Hurricane Ian flooded thousands of houses in Florida. Photo by Bilanol via iStock\",\"subtitle\":\"As climate change and urbanization increase the risk of flooding across the United States, millions of Americans remain unprotected against damages. NC State researchers are working to solve that problem.\"}","ncst_content_audit_freq":"","ncst_content_audit_date":"","ncst_content_audit_display":false,"ncst_backToTopFlag":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1,102,3,460],"tags":[21,105],"_ncst_magazine_issue":[],"class_list":["post-23749","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-hidden-news","category-hidden-newswire","category-research-innovation","category-thought-leadership","tag-center-for-geospatial-analytics","tag-climate-change"],"displayCategory":{"term_id":3,"name":"Research and Innovation","slug":"research-innovation","term_group":0,"term_taxonomy_id":3,"taxonomy":"category","description":"Discover the innovative research our faculty and students devote themselves to year around. At the College of Natural Resources, we are working to create a healthier and more sustainable planet across various disciplines \u2014 including paper science and engineering, forest management and wildlife conservation, and parks, recreation and tourism management. ","parent":0,"count":161,"filter":"raw"},"acf":{"ncst_posts_meta_modified_date":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23749","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/171"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23749"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23823,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23749\/revisions\/23823"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23749"},{"taxonomy":"_ncst_magazine_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cnr.ncsu.edu\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/_ncst_magazine_issue?post=23749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}