Natalie Nelson

Bio

Natalie uses geospatial analytics to inform agriculture, aquaculture, water and coastal resources management. She develops data-intensive, management-focused and interdisciplinary approaches to the study of complex biological system dynamics, including the connectivity between land management practices and downstream water quality. Other interests include identifying risks to food security in coastal basins, linking data mining and mechanistic modeling approaches and investigating spatial and temporal dynamics of socio-environmental systems across settings and scales.

Publications

• Day-ahead statistical forecasting of algal bloom risk to support reservoir release decisions in a highly engineered watershed , JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT (2025)
• Forecasting interannual abundance of Helicoverpa zea (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) , ENVIRONMENTAL ENTOMOLOGY (2025)
• Gaps in US livestock data are a barrier to effective environmental and disease management , ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2025)
• Simulating fluvial sediment pulses using remote sensing and machine learning: Development of a modeling framework applicable to data rich and scarce regions , International Journal of Sediment Research (2025)
• Assessing the Utility of Shellfish Sanitation Monitoring Data for Long-Term Estuarine Water Quality Analysis , (2024)
• Assessing the utility of shellfish sanitation monitoring data for long-term estuarine water quality analysis , MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN (2024)
• Downstream Nutrient Concentrations Depend on Watershed Inputs More Than Reservoir Releases in a Highly Engineered Watershed , WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH (2024)
• Effective Nutrient Management of Surface Waters in the United States Requires Expanded Water Quality Monitoring in Agriculturally Intensive Areas , ACS ENVIRONMENTAL AU (2024)
• Fecal Bacteria Contamination of Floodwaters and a Coastal Waterway From Tidally-Driven Stormwater Network Inundation , GEOHEALTH (2024)